Economic forecasts,
for the greater Seattle area.
Consider us your research center, providing you answers in easy to understand language and charts.
Established in 1993, The Puget Sound Economic Forecaster is a quarterly report published by the Center for Economic and Business Research at Western Washington University which acquired the publication in 2017 from its founders, Conway Pedersen Economics, Inc.
The report and website are designed for business executives, marketing directors, investors, government managers, and researchers who need a professional and objective view on the economic prospects for the Puget Sound region (King County, Kitsap County, Pierce County, and Snohomish County).
Our goal is to provide accurate and well-reasoned forecasts for the region as well as clear and insightful observations on important developments in the economy.
In-Depth Regional Economic Outlook
The first issue of the
Puget Sound Economic Forecaster,
a quarterly report,
was published in December 1993.
Each report contains a summary forecast, in-depth discussion of the regional outlook, forecasts and analyses of retail sales and construction and real estate, a special topic (e.g., China and Population Change), a detailed forecast table, and the Puget Sound Index of Leading Economic Indicators.
To facilitate research and analysis on the regional economy, every issue of the regional economic report is archived as a downloadable PDF file in the Subscriber Area. A comprehensive Subject Index of the archived reports has been developed to aid in the retrieval of information.
Reports are posted to the web site one to two weeks before the printed copy is mailed.
Sample Report – Data, Trade and Trends [Volume 27, Number 2, June 2019]
With thoughts of the long warm days of summer on our minds, we have found ourselves interrupted pondering about the price of avocados and how the latest round of tariff threats that may impact retail sales and the general economy overall. Thoughts of spending time at the lake or river have found us considering stream flows and how the change in our climate may impact all of the people and businesses that rely on water in one way or another. Daydreams of patio and deck BBQs have caused us to reflect on changes in house prices and the sudden growth in sales outside of the King County – is it more commuters or are jobs moving? Will the Seattle to Everett corridor retain its worst traffic in the nation ranking? Evidently, economists are bad at not thinking about things. All of the above is ahead in this edition of the Forecaster plus a better understanding of workforce participation and the state forecast. We will just call it the beach edition.
Additional Features
In addition to the Quarterly Report,
we regularly publish
Additional Feature Reports
Breaking News
What We Are Following in the News
By now it’s conventional wisdom that the global economy’s 2026 performance will come down to a single variable: What the price of oil will average over the course of the year. Bloomberg Economics has calculated the difference between the upside and downside cases. In a negative scenario with oil at $170 a barrel, global GDP would expand just 2.2% this year, compared with 3.4% in 2025, Tom Orlik and Jamie Rush wrote in a note last week. But in a positive scenario, with oil back at $65, the world could achieve a 3.1% expansion. In monetary terms that amounts to just over $1 trillion – the equivalent of a little more than Switzerland’s economy, or somewhat less than Saudi Arabia’s.
The old parental anxiety over getting their kids into college has been followed by a new one: getting their kids a job after graduation. • Coaching packages range from a few thousand dollars to more than $30,000, with some elite programs topping $50,000, to help students land competitive roles in an increasingly cutthroat environment. • As demand surges, life coaches are increasingly focusing on students, as families treat career prep as a return on rising tuition costs. https://buff.ly/aEz9P48
This week: Monday: OPEC releases its monthly oil market report. Tuesday: Producer-price data for March will give clues on how the war in the Middle East is stoking inflationary pressures. The IMF publishes its global economic forecast. Wednesday: Tax day in the U.S. The Fed publishes its Beige Book Thursday: The Labor Department reports weekly jobless claims. Friday: The euro zone reports its trade balance.
Analysts’ estimated first-quarter earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is 12.6%, according to FactSet. That would be the sixth-straight quarter of double-digit growth. The number of companies issuing positive earnings guidance for the quarter has climbed to its highest level since 2021. https://buff.ly/p4saUlj
Questions? We Love Questions!
We receive a wide-range of questions every day and would love to hear yours. Questions lead to data and data should lead to better questions.
Special Topics
Special topics in each report
intended to increase the
reader’s understanding of
how the Puget Sound economy works
Past topics include regional growth, labor productivity, demographic trends, inflation, multipliers, entrepreneurs, and state and local taxes.
Web site subscribers currently have access to more than fifty special topics. Here are four examples drawn from the Special Topic Archive:
Stream Flow [Volume 27, Number 2, June 2019]
Is Traffic Real? [Volume 27, Number 1, March 2019]
Labor Force and Population [Volume 26, Number 4, December 2018]
Forest Fires [Volume 26, Number 3, September 2018]
Subscribe To Our Report
and Get Ahead of the Curve
Need More Info? Contact Us with Your Questions
Join Current Subscribers Like
