Commentary

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 6 hours ago

Yields have been stuck as the data void keeps intact expectations that the Fed will follow last month’s quarter-point rate cut with two more moves of that size by year-end.

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 8 hours ago

The tariff cash doesn’t seem to helping things as far as America’s yawning debt is concerned. The federal government logged a $1.8 trillion budget deficit for the 2025 fiscal year, little changed from 2024 despite a surge in revenues from President Donald Trump’s trade war.

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 10 hours ago

It’s true that the Federal Reserve appears willing to lower interest rates further this year. But recent minutes from the central bank’s September meetings reveal that many members have expressed caution due to inflation. https://buff.ly/vd8Gg19

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 12 hours ago

Interested in a in-person discussion about tariffs and a journey to our campus in Bellingham? WWU's Economic Department is hosting Dr. Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan, founder of Infinite Sum Modeling LLC, will speak in the first Fall 25 Economics Department Discussion Group (EDDG) seminar on Wednesday, October 15, 4-5:30 PM in PH 441. He will present his paper "Impact of the Trump 2.0 Tariffs on the global economy, climate and energy transition." This is a free event! More information at: https://buff.ly/QvcK3qC

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 13 hours ago

Consumers see higher inflation in the year ahead, with signs that lower and middle-income households are feeling most of the burden of rising price pressures, according to a monthly survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Expectations for consumer price increases one year ahead jumped to 3.4% in September from 3.2% in the prior month. The increase was most significant for households earning less than $50,000, and for consumers with at most a high school education.

WWU Center for Economic and Business Research️ 14 hours ago

Carlyle Group is releasing its own estimates of US economic data. The investment manager is stepping into the economic data void left by the US government shutdown with a grim read on the labor market. Carlyle estimates that just 17,000 jobs were created, among the weakest results since the US economy emerged from the 2020 recession. https://buff.ly/e8didvb