Archive

And for 2024

For twenty-two years we have peered into a crystal ball trying to discern our economic future. In retrospect, if we could have picked another time to forecast, it would have been from 1970 to 2000 when the economy behaved...well...more predictably.

Volume: 23 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Winners and Losers

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

Tapping the Brakes

When a driver taps the brakes, the car slows down but remains under control. The workings of an economy are not so simple. If the economy decelerates in response to an oil price shock, for example, the slowdown may trigger a reaction that further impedes its progress.

Volume: 14 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Taxable Retail Sales

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen