Archive

16 DecHedging Bets

Even forecasters on occasion hit the nail on the head. A year ago, despite concern over a sputtering U.S. economy, we said that it was "not the time to lose our good cheer."

Volume: 15 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Gross Domestic Product

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 AugA Pause

In spite of an unexpected decline in employment this spring, Blue Chip economists contend that the "odds of a (national) recession this year or next are modest." Evidence supporting this opinion includes a confident consumer, lower mortgage rates, a weak dollar (lifting exports), and strong capital spending.

Volume: 3 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Changing Demographics

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen