Following the Script

Even armed with high-powered models, economic forecasters sometimes get it wrong. The Blue Chip panel of economists failed to predict the national recession in 2001. In fact, they did not even recognize it until it was almost over. We fared no better in forecasting the collapse of the Puget Sound economy.

Volume: 13 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The Leading Index


  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen