Archive

Are We There Yet?

At the end of a recession, when the economy is in flux, numbers can get squirrely...Keeping in mind the shakiness of preliminary job estimates, there was potentially goods news in ESD's March labor report.

Volume: 18 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: South Carolina

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

Jobs and the Presidency

Professor Neil Bruce of the University of Washington recently lectured on the economy's impact on the presidential election. Making use of the Fair Model, he predicted that President Bush would win in November with a 54 percent vote.

Volume: 12 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The Dollar

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

Not Much to Fear

Suppose we had a recession and nobody noticed. Something like this may be in the offing. We tend to view recessions with dread, like a serious illness: "recession may kill 19-year expansion." In fact, most recessions are just minor interruptions in the upward march of the economy.

Volume: 9 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Productivity

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

As the Nation Turns

Like it or not, the Puget Sound region has little control over its economic destiny, at least in the short run. World air travel dictates how many commercial jets Boeing will sell. Volatile housing markets in California and Japan generate production swings at Weyerhaeuser lumber mills. The incomes of many Seattle fishermen are made or lost in Alaskan waters.

Volume: 8 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Consumer Price Index

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen