Archive

16 SepMake That One Dip

If history is a guide, bet on a double-dip recession for the nation, since four of the last six recessions have had two downturns. And new government numbers, revealing that the 2001 recession was deeper and longer than first thought and that the recovery may be stalling, appear to have raised the odds.

Volume: 10 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The 1990's

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 AugOn Watch

If you are wondering what is up, the answer is not much. Led by another decline in help-wanted ads, the Puget Sound leading index continues to plunge.

Volume: 9 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Measurement Error

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 MayHard to Beat

The Economist, the highly respected British magazine, has written many favorable words about the greater Seattle area over the years. But rarely has such praise been more deserving than now: the economy is simply hard to beat.

Volume: 6 - Number: 2

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Regional Cycles

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 NovNo Time for Pessimism

One trait of a pessimist is the ability to worry during good times. Up to a point, this may be practical. Taken too far, it can lead to missed opportunities.

Volume: 5 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Boeing and Microsoft

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 MaySome Insurance

Forecasting turning points is difficult. Thus, in February, when we called for the Puget Sound economy to break out of its five-year sluggish state, we crossed a couple of fingers.

Volume: 4 - Number: 2

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Rest of Washington

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen