Archive

11 SepUncertainty

Uncertainty is what makes economic forecasters look for another job. It is also the reason why forecasting is fun.

Volume: 22 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The Jobless

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 MarThe Promising Recovery

A funny thing happened on the way to this forecast: we tripped over bad data. But no harm was done. In fact, when we picked ourselves off the ground, the world looked better.

Volume: 20 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Census Data

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 JunHow Deep?

We can gauge a recession in several ways--the decline in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the number of lost jobs, and the rise in unemployment. An interesting alternative is to express it in terms of time.

Volume: 17 - Number: 2

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Washington Tax Structure

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 DecLooking Up

Economic conditions in the Puget Sound region have been dismal for three years. As if on a steep slide with a long run-out, employment plunged from 1,735,000 jobs in the fourth quarter of 2000 to 1,658,300 in the second quarter of 2002 and then bumped along sideways to 1,656,400 in the third quarter of 2003.

Volume: 11 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Regional Forecasting

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen