Archive

13 JunMixed Messages

When an economy is smoothly rolling along, it is fairly easy to forecast. At the start of the recovery in 2009, two potential developments seemed likely: the U.S. economy would rebound slowly because of restrictive federal fiscal policies; and the Puget Sound region would outpace the nation because of thousands of new jobs at Boeing and Amazon.com...Now that the recovery is getting longer in the tooth, questions are arising about its future course.

Volume: 24 - Number: 2

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Import Substitution

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 DecA Lump of Coal

If you sense some frustration with this outlook, you are right. Based on the behavior of the national economy this year, it deserves a lump of coal in its holiday stocking.

Volume: 21 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Economic Timeline

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

11 SepUncertainty

Uncertainty is what makes economic forecasters look for another job. It is also the reason why forecasting is fun.

Volume: 22 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The Jobless

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen

16 DecHedging Bets

Even forecasters on occasion hit the nail on the head. A year ago, despite concern over a sputtering U.S. economy, we said that it was "not the time to lose our good cheer."

Volume: 15 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Gross Domestic Product

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen