Files containing subject Boeing

2018 Stimulus Still Visible in Forecast

The past 30 days have been exciting between major news regarding and impacting Amazon and Boeing and continuing developments in policy at both the federal and state level there has been most things to consider as we construct and analyze the forecast. We wish this was all there is to consider but the list of things to watch continues to make it complicated. This quarter, we see a small upti [READ MORE]

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Volume: 27 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Is Traffic Real?

Authors:

  • Hart Hodges
  • Josh Grandbouche
  • James McCafferty
Shaky Ground - December 2018

This time of year we are asked to do a lot of economic forecast and year in review talks throughout the state. It is interesting to talk with so many business leaders and policy makers as they consider the road behind and ahead. In preparing for these talks, and the Forecaster, we are reminded that much of the data we all rely on is subject to revisions, sometimes substantial, which makes prese [READ MORE]

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Volume: 26 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Labor Force and Population

Authors:

  • Hart Hodges
  • Josh Grandbouche
  • James McCafferty
Economy May Be Reaching Its Limits

As we wrap up the first quarter of the year it is a good time to take stock of what happened in 2017. Last year was a strong year by most measures, but as we have noted, the economy may be reaching its limits. Some factors are cooling off from their highs seen in 2016, such as employment growth. Unemployment continues to fall even lower locally than it is nationally, begging the question of how lo [READ MORE]

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Volume: 26 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Inside Unemployment

Authors:

  • Hart Hodges
  • James McCafferty
Regional Economy on the Same Path - December 2017

The outlook remains positive. Nonetheless, we continue to wonder when we'll see the peak in local employment at Amazon, when and how much growth we'll see at Microsoft, and what Boeing may do with its next new plane We also highlight in this issue differences in economic activity and demographics across counties in Washington. The dramatic job growth since 2010 in the Puget Sound area stands in [READ MORE]

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Volume: 25 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Place Matters

Authors:

  • Hart Hodges
  • James McCafferty
Not Over Yet

People went to the polls in November with raised hopes that the election would put an end to the misery brought about by the Great Recession...But instead we may get another downturn. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 20 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Estimating Population

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Some Encouraging News

As bad as it was, we should not mistake the Great Recession for the Great Depression...Despite the fits and starts of the recovery, there are concrete signs that the Puget Sound economy is on the mend. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 19 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Investment, Capital, and Output

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
A Bit More Patience

Economists have not given up forecasting recessions, but maybe they should...Forecasting recoveries, on the other hand, seems to be a piece of cake. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 17 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Regional Forecasting

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
What Matters

Did Airbus really win last year's skirmish over airplane orders? Excluding cancellations and conversions, the European airplane maker claimed that it booked 1,111 firm orders, 82 more than Boeing. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 14 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: California

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Looking Up

Economic conditions in the Puget Sound region have been dismal for three years. As if on a steep slide with a long run-out, employment plunged from 1,735,000 jobs in the fourth quarter of 2000 to 1,658,300 in the second quarter of 2002 and then bumped along sideways to 1,656,400 in the third quarter of 2003. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 11 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Regional Forecasting

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Make That One Dip

If history is a guide, bet on a double-dip recession for the nation, since four of the last six recessions have had two downturns. And new government numbers, revealing that the 2001 recession was deeper and longer than first thought and that the recovery may be stalling, appear to have raised the odds. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 10 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: The 1990's

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen