Files containing subject prediction errors

Long Shot

Grading a forecasting record based on short-term predictions is akin to cheating. How far off can one be on a one-year-ahead forecast? [READ MORE]

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Volume: 24 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Agglomeration

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Hedging Bets

Even forecasters on occasion hit the nail on the head. A year ago, despite concern over a sputtering U.S. economy, we said that it was "not the time to lose our good cheer." [READ MORE]

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Volume: 15 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Gross Domestic Product

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen