Files containing subject speculation

A Different Animal

Recessions often follow a predictable course. The 2001-03 recession, triggered by the dot-com bust and the 9/11 aerospace downturn, is an example...The current downturn is a different animal and not just because of its highly uncertain track. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 17 - Number: 1

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Bubbles and Transparency

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Groping for the Bottom

The National Bureau of Economic Research recently reported that the United States fell into recession at the end of 2007. Now, one year later, the Puget Sound region is in the soup. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 16 - Number: 4

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Great Depression

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen
Wait and See

Two-year forecasts are more accurate than ten-year projections, right? Not always. Consider the volatile housing market, a topic of keen interest right now. [READ MORE]

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Volume: 15 - Number: 3

Leading Index Title:

Special Topic Title: Long-Range Forecasting

Authors:

  • Dick Conway
  • Doug Pedersen