Recessions often follow a predictable course. The 2001-03 recession, triggered by the dot-com bust and the 9/11 aerospace downturn, is an example...The current downturn is a different animal and not just because of its highly uncertain track.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 17 - Number: 1
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Bubbles and Transparency
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The National Bureau of Economic Research recently reported that the United States fell into recession at the end of 2007. Now, one year later, the Puget Sound region is in the soup.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 16 - Number: 4
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Great Depression
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In the middle of a presidential election there is no need to remind us that we could be misled by economic statistics...As a rule, we should always exercise caution with economic information, since it can fools of us at anytime.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 16 - Number: 3
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Economic Bubbles
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This is nothing like crossing an icy slope in tennis shoes. But the downside of an economic cycle has its own perils. Once an economy begins to slip, it is difficult to figure out where it will land.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 16 - Number: 2
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Rules of Thumb
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"To be, or not to be, that is the question." Shakespeare's line from Hamlet keeps coming to mind whenever there is talk of recession. In February, Global Insight called for a short and shallow downturn for the nation, while the Blue Chip panel predicted a narrow escape.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 16 - Number: 1
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Michigan Recession
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Even forecasters on occasion hit the nail on the head. A year ago, despite concern over a sputtering U.S. economy, we said that it was "not the time to lose our good cheer."
Download the NewsletterVolume: 15 - Number: 4
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Gross Domestic Product
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Two-year forecasts are more accurate than ten-year projections, right? Not always. Consider the volatile housing market, a topic of keen interest right now.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 15 - Number: 3
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Long-Range Forecasting
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A course in regional economics often begins with a deceptively simple question: what is a region? The word is commonly used in the context of politics (the middle-east region), climate (the arctic region), and topography (the Appalachian region).
Download the NewsletterVolume: 15 - Number: 2
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Regional Forecasting
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Fed chair Ben Bernanke may not like it, but Alan Greenspan has still got it. The day after the former chief uttered the "R"word, the stock market turned south, causing a case of the jitters.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 15 - Number: 1
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Sports and the Economy
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End of year is a fitting time to sum things up. Economic statistics for 2006 have not been finalized, but so far the numbers look good. The 3.5 percent gain in Puget Sound employment, if it holds up, will be the best showing in eight years.
Download the NewsletterVolume: 14 - Number: 4
Leading Index Title:
Special Topic Title: Population Change
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